The Musings Of An Opinionated Sod [Help Me Grow!]


Brand Forecasting …
October 9, 2007, 7:15 am
Filed under: Comment

So while scouring through some trashy American woman’s mag, I came across this ad for Svedka Vodka …

While it caught my attention, I still was left questioning whether I liked the ad or found the whole a pile of self-indulgent wank.

After looking at it over and over again, I’ve come to the conclusion I like the positioning, but hate the execution.

There’s something quite cheeky and cool about signing off your ads with “VOTED #1 VODKA OF 2033” however using Robots to represent the future is both unimaginative and ever-so-massively naff.

I’m sure [or hope] the creatives tried a bunch of creative routes to make the message ‘come alive’ – and no doubt the clients narrow mindedness pushed them into this clichéd territory – however it just smacks of a missed opportunity because the brand could [and quite possibly ‘should’] be a real ‘challenger’ to the category – using its communication [and behaviour] to demonstrate HOW and WHY they are going to be the most popular vodka of the future as opposed to just putting out a bunch of bland ads that have little relevance or intrigue about them. 

Of course I have no idea of the clients budget, attitude or motivation – which all have a huge influence in what is created – however given 42 Below developed a powerful brand with minimal financial investment [mainly because they appreciated distribution is the key factor in building a strong alcohol brand rather than an ad – though they also created some of the most outrageously wonderful communication you’ve ever seen – which you can see here, here and here] I can’t help but feel this brand and campaign could be so much more.


68 Comments so far
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You are right of course but that’s because agencies like cynic CP+B and Droga5 think of advertising in broader, more active terms when most clients actually want more traditional advertising campaigns even though they talk up the importance of “through the line big ideas”.
I think the reason for this is because they and their bosses feel “safe” with the usual because not only is it quantifiable but has a structured pricing policy they feel comfortable with.
Even fantastic agencies like WK, Mother and BBH still tend to primarily think / create via the classic ad channels which is why I consider companies like Naked or promotional companies far more of a competitior than any traditional agency model.
You can read more about the awful Svedka campaign by going to adrants. http://www.adrants.com/2005/09/svedka-launches-futuristic-unpc-campaign.php

Comment by Pete

You’re very kind Pete to lump us with Crispin’s and Droga5 because you are doing great things with high profile clients where we tend to be working in much more niche areas. We have a long way to go till we’re happy with what we’re doing, but when we get there you’ll be wanting to associate with us, not the other way round 🙂
While I normally keep my opinions to myself, you raise a point I feel compelled to comment on.
For all the talk of intergrated campaigns the reality is most agencies, and I include the greats of WK and the like, focus the majority of their attention on creating advertising for traditional channels.
I am sure much of the reasons for this are what you already detailed however it does annoy me that companies who try to break the mould are generally regarded as mavericks rather than responsible communication specialists.
I am not denying finding a pricing model that clients found acceptable was difficult, but now we have a track record for innovative thinking and solutions, you’d be amazed how much easier it is to sell. I believe it’s all about how much you want to make it happen and I just don’t believe the majority of agencies are that interested in doing it or this sort of solution wouldn’t be such an exception, would it?
With this in mind, I’ll be very interested to see how WK approach their Nokia task because while they’ve done certain “creative media thinking” (NIKE Fun Run for example) their comfort zone is still in the traditional advertising space when I believe one of the key requirements for progressing Nokia will be about the creation of technology that can infiltrate the needs and wants of society just like iTunes did for Apple and iPod.
That sounds harsh and far too opinionated (I leave that sort of thing to Andy and Rob) plus I really love and respect WK, but their experience on brands like Nike and Coke is not going to prepare them for the challenge they face on Nokia. I hope I am wrong and I hope WK put some emotion back into that brand but I believe their success won’t be based on their ability to create great advertising (that’s a given), but on their ability to think bigger than just advertising as well as get Nokia to let go of their rational product handcuffs and embrace cultural momentum.

Comment by George

What’s all this rubbish about leaving the harsh and opinionated comments to me and Andy? Just because you are way, way, waaaaaaaaaaaaaaay more diplomatic doesn’t mean you character assasinations aren’t as potent, ha!

I love both of your comments – they show more insight into the World of communication than 99% of industry ‘probes’ … and as regards your WK evaluation [especially with Nokia] I hope they prove us both wrong because as it stands, I believe [and know that they know] they have a massive challenge on their hands, not least in maintaining their corporate culture and – to a certain extent – maintaining their independence given they find themselves having to work with the greatest smiling assasins of corporateland, JWT/WPP!

Saying all that, Nokia know WK have created brands that actually mean something to people so if they let them get on with it [and WK realise it’ll take more than just ads to achieve the goal] then I have faith it could all end ‘happily ever after’.

I’ve always thought Nokia was a brand punching well below its potential – it should be what Apple aspires to be like not the other way round – so I hope WK succeed in moving them forward because apart from selling the benefit of ‘smaller agency thinking’ to a bunch of other massive corporations – it would also mean that company would go through the most exciting time of their lives and if anyone deserves continual glory, it’s them.

Comment by Rob

I sort of like the thought behind the line as well, but find the execution cold and witless. I don’t think Svedka’s commoditization-of-women-positioning that they seem to have been using for years neither funny nor interesting. But I do I take my hat off to 42 Below’s relentless provocation brand. The latter is smart and cheeky in sharp contrast to Svedka [It doesn’t really matter where you stand on the various issues]. And to Rob’s point, 42 Below have understood that it takes much more than ads to build a spirit brand. Having said that, I do think Svedka, quite possibly, would appeal to US collage students and blue collar type drinkers, whereas 42 Below would resonate more with Bankers, Ad Wankers, “Media Types” and various other white collar office nerds.

To Pete’s point…Clients [those whose primary focus is to stay afloat in an ocean of spineless middle management] love it when agencies talk about big through the line ideas. However, what they almost invariably end up buying is exactly what Pete said: the usual. It’s safety for them. We’ve had this experience so many times over the last couple of years.

Wow….That’s the harshest I’ve ever seen George express himself!! George, I can see that you’re trying to carefully manage the perception about Cynic’s managing troika in your comment; you want to ensure people realise that you’re “different” from your two business partners: less harsh and more measured. 😉 It’s a great point you make about the absurdity of responsible communication specialists – companies that get it and try to break the mould – are still labeled mavericks. It’s bizarre.

It’ll be really interesting to see what W+K will do in terms of creative media thinking on NOKIA [and of course what Nokia will let them do]. W+K and Nokia will also have to sort out the cross-cultural issues involved when developing creative work centrally and then exporting it to the four corners of the world. This is a massive issue for the brand…for any brand… and I don’t think Nokia have paid enough attention to it in the past.

Comment by fredrik sarnblad

Less harsh and more measured? Haven’t you just described the entire population of Sweden there Fred? 🙂

I think you’ll find the reason George is more ‘aggressive’ is because he’s been away from his family for a few days so his ‘masculine genes’ are coming back to the fore. Abit like you were when Annie and the kids left you for a month 🙂

Comment by Rob

I guess the Swedes, me included, have changed slightly since the Viking days. But as you’ve seen in the past, this can all change back under the “right” circumstances.

Comment by fredrik sarnblad

Yes Fred, with those circumstances being …

1 Wife and kids away [preferably another country]

2 Business meeting outside of your ‘home’ country

3 A client who loves eating at great places

4 None-stop wine

5 Copious amounts of food

6 A late start the following day

Does that about cover it? And I don’t think that’s exclusive to Swedish people, look at George’s behaviour at Cannes 🙂

Comment by Robert

I have no idea what you’re talking about.

Comment by fredrik sarnblad

That’s funny, George said exactly the same thing!

Comment by Rob

Morning.

Comment by The Kaiser

First rule of advertising – if in doubt, it’s a whole pile of self-indulgent wank.

Comment by John

What’s your fucking problem Dodds? You’ve been a grumpy bastard for days now.

Comment by The Kaiser

Its fun watching bickering AND intellectual discussion swap around a bit.

Question for me is was it the agency or the client being self indulgent?

Comment by Rob Mortimer

I’m not bickering. I’m concerned.

Comment by The Kaiser

nice to know that even in the future women have great tits. shocked they still need a great big fucking bra to hold them up though.

for the second day now i am finding myself in agreement with campbell, this campaign had potential but then they went or were forced to go with pointless, cliche shit. theres nothing self indulgent in it, its just fucking lazy advertising that is trying hard to be cool but feels like some ford ad for a “youth car”.

andy has spoken.

Comment by andy@cynic

Excellent. Move on.

Comment by The Kaiser

Its still better than the new Mazda “It’s Fit” ad. Makes me want to key some cars…

Comment by Rob Mortimer

are you telling me that mazda ad is more annoying that “zoom zoom”? that means its a weapon of mass annoyance and its creators must fucking die. talking of dying, fred the swede is due an early box after slimying up to george. get a fucking room vikingboy.

Comment by andy@cynic

I am not grumpy – I am filled with the joys of a rain-sodden October morning (as opposed to the sunshine and 70 I was promised).

Is that clear? Good!

Right now – back to serious George style – Who actually cares about 2033 – it’s random, too far away in the future and yet not far enough away to suggest real futurism. And why would I want to identify with a suck-up? (leave it brown!)

Comment by John

a night out with john and george is going to be fucking wild

Comment by andy@cynic

You’re quite right Dodds. A man of your age and considerable virility has no need for futuristic appliances of suction.

Comment by The Kaiser

that is why i love brown: cheap sexual jokes at someone elses expense.

Comment by andy@cynic

Couldn’t anyone tell that my comment was a desperate attempt to ditch my “boring” tag?

Comment by George

Andy.

It makes Zoom Zoom look like a work of creative and planning genius.

Its possibly the worst thought out and badly concieved car ad in history. I shall be ranting on it soon.

Comment by Rob Mortimer

No need – but I’m always open to them.

Comment by John

George you bring balance to this, our weightless environment. That’s your role.

Stop fucking confusing us.

Comment by The Kaiser

fuck, george is doing comedy now!

Comment by andy@cynic

Your place or mine John?

Comment by Svedka -The Vodka Sex Robot

this blog place has been too quiet for a while, you get fucking ranting mortimer, kick start reaction.

Comment by andy@cynic

My wife said a similar thing Marcus 🙂

Comment by George

Seriously. Has anybody gone and have a look at http://www.svedka.com

Your blood will boil. This strategy is doomed and the Brand shackled to it forever.

Comment by Marcus

Dear Svedka – since your place lies 26 years in the future I’ll have to pass – I don’t have Billy’s patience!

Comment by John

Let’s have a vote

Who spotted George’s desparation?

Was he successful in shifting his personal brand?

Comment by John

It’s really bad isn’t it Marcus.
Why don’t you vent about it, not in Kaiser style, but as you because just like Andy, you are far smarter than you like to show the blog World and I for one would enjoy reading what you think and why. This is all meant as a compliment so if it has come across as condecending, it’s because I’ve just got home and am a daddy again 🙂

Comment by George

i spotted georges desperate attempt at acceptance but as hes my business partner, i thought it best not to fucking humiliate him in front of all of you bastards.

by the way john, billy is now in full on loved up mode so hes no longer running on full. saying that the lothario is currently stuck on his own in brazil so hes probably building up pressure as we speak.

Comment by andy@cynic

In 2033 I’ll have hair again

Comment by NP

like elton john has hair again?

Comment by andy@cynic

Thanks for that image Andy – I shall not be having lunch now.

Comment by John

At first glance this strategy appears to be quite clever; it seems to give the brand access to all kinds of stuff – stuff that it can make up. But does a Vodka that has to make stuff up really interest me? And does it really interest the “party generation” that it is trying to reach with this “future of adult entertainment”. And I think this is key to what they are up to.

My take on this is that they are trying to tap into future adults. Not necessarily children, but young adults around 16-25. The promise is a future where “celebrity worship is the fastest growing religion” – which sounds like hire-and-fire in a “pop-idol” culture.

I also find the strategy reminiscent of the coldness of the world that can be found in Brett Easton Ellis. Yes, the strategy is very cold. There is little warmth here.

It terms of the Brand being shackled I would say this. How many times have we been disappointed by dates? 1984, Space 1999, 2000 A.D not forgetting the dubious duty free shops called “Mobile 2000” that you’ll find around the central stations of most European cities. The strategy forces the brand to keep going for if it stops then it was all I bunch of lies (which of course it is) and the closer it gets to 2033 the more the brand can be benchmarked against the promise it has made over the years. Then of course, 2033 comes and goes and the brand end’s up looking like the rather embarrassing remnant of the “Mobile 2000” shop.

Comment by Marcus

aim to please. which is more than can be said about billy.

Comment by andy@cynic

Is there an aim of ‘anti celebrity’ style? If so its badly done.

As for my Mazda rant Andy, check my blog in about an hour.

Comment by Rob Mortimer

No Mr M, it’s pro celebrity worship.

Comment by Marcus

It’s this: http://www.richprosecco.com/

Comment by Marcus

Dying? Early Box? I must have hit too close to home with my comment about George’s personal brand management!? And reading the comments to this post, I wonder if The Kaiser has had too many sausages today. In Andy’s case, this is my assumption on any given day.

Comment by fredrik sarnblad

you can pretty much track the decline of intellectual discussion by the length of the comments on this post. what started off with enormous chunks of weighty argument and discussion, ended with quick pithy throwaway one-liners. some things never change, i see.

does it make me incredibly shallow to actually prefer the ‘tired of sucking up’ positioning to the ‘vodka of 2033’ positioning? not vodka as a liquid to save the future or the world or make a big fucking grand statement, but just enough to take the edge of a completely shit day at work?

i love a brand that makes a difference to the world, but if they can’t do that (which vodka will never do, no matter what smirnoff think), make a small difference to a person’s day.

Comment by lauren

I agree with a lot of what you’re saying Marcus, especially the bit about it being a cold strat, but I’m not so sure whether the future is really inherent in all this because apart from the robot visual, everything else is firmly entrenched in the today.
It’s a bit like consumer electronic companies, always talking about the future then using visual stimulus that is absolutely current. I can see clients telling their agencies not to go too extreme because consumers might not be able to relate to what they are watching.
That’s one of the reasons why I liked the initial Feel work Rob and his boys did for Sony. By showing the future in a negative light and celebrating how great it is to be human, they single handidly differentiated the brand from the masses while also building a point of view. That’s when advertising works not when you create contrived communication in a bid to look energetic.
You should be you more often, it’s exciting to see.

Comment by George

guess who took too long to write her comment and looks way behind… a little like this ad..

Comment by lauren

Is sucking up and unfortunate phrase in the light of our esteemed second in line to the throne’s prefered method of imbibing vodka?

Comment by NP

I’ve just read Lauren’s comment (I daren’t mention Fredrik’s) and totally agree that too much alcohol advertising tries to be deep and meaningful without any substance behind it, just like too much alcohol advertising uses mindless behaviour to represent “fun”.
The thing is that I don’t believe Svedka falls into either of those camps. The endline sets up something interesting but nothing actually backs that vision up, you just look away.
“Forget The Day” would be great promise for an alcohol brand and it will be something I file away for another day however I’d be amazed if any alcohol brand was brave enough to do it given they all are trying to demonstrate responsibility to local governments in a bid to lobby for tax breaks.

Comment by George

THIS MESSAGE HAS BEEN DELETED ON REQUEST OF THE WRITER – A BLOKE WHO SOMETIMES FAILS TO REALISE ‘THE TIME AND THE PLACE’

Comment by Rob [on behalf of andy@cynic]

bang out of order Boucher.

Comment by Marcus

ive just had katerina give me the evil eye so at the risk of me losing my hard man image, i apologise to fred if my last comment went too far. i accept it wasnt nice especially because being a swede you suffer enough already.

Comment by andy@cynic

ive just had marcus give me a blog bollocking so at the risk of me losing my hard man image, i apologise to fred if my last comment went too far. i accept it wasnt nice especially because being a swede you suffer enough already.

anyone else want to kick me in the fucking nuts?

Comment by andy@cynic

What would happen if someone said that about your wife Andy? Yellow card.

Comment by George

ive just had george give me a boring telling off so at the risk of me losing my hard man image, i apologise to fred if my last comment went too far. i accept it wasnt nice especially because being a swede you suffer enough already.

ive just said sorry more times than i did in 3 marriages, enough already.

george, im leaving for virgin now, meet you there in about 40 mins.

Comment by andy@cynic

Boring telling off? I’ll see if I can make it more interesting when I see you. On my way.

Comment by George

I didn’t read the Sony ad as being in the future George – it worked so well for me because it was about being robotic rather than human and being robotic is very much of the present both literally and metaphorically. Which is another reason why Svedka doesn’t evince the future. Indeed having scrolled up (to remind myself what the brand actually was) it makes me think of Fritz Lang’s metropolis which was a view of the fuutre made in the 1930s I think.

Comment by John

Men revert to immature boys without the influence of women. Sorry Fredrik.

Comment by Katerina

Sorry John you’re right. I didn’t mean to say the Sony ad was based in the future, I meant that I liked the way the guys had used a robot as a negative metaphor of our lives rather than as a subliminal symbol for advanced technology.
Though I do seem to remember Rob telling me the client thought the robots were all about futuristic technology which begs the question why they didn’t object when they metamorphisised into a human being. Clients, strange lot.
Katerina you wonderful, where would we be without you? Must fly, a certain gentlemen is waiting for me 🙂

Comment by George

I know it’s become the motif of the day but no apology necessary George and I must say it’s very magnanimous of you to refer to Andy as a “certain gentleman”

Comment by John

However hard I try, I fail to see the humour in that comment of yours Andy. I sincerely hope for your sake, and your wife’s, that it wasn’t only peer pressure from your friends/colleagues that made you produce an apology. But I accept it.

Comment by fredrik sarnblad

Good morning/evening Fredrik. Andy is currently in a meeting but has just rung to tell me to tell you he’s sent you an email. I think you can guess what it says. He’s not a bad man, just silly at times. Kind regards, K

Comment by Katerina

fred i hope you got my e, i am sorry and know i acted like a complete fucking prat.

i might not be a planner but even i managed to work out id stepped over the mark so please accept my apology and know it is sincere, not because others took exception to what i wrote.

kick me in the nuts next time you see me, though be prepared to have to wait in a queue for a while.

Comment by andy@cynic

I’ve received and replied to your email Andy. I don’t believe you had bad intentions and take your apology as sincere. Again, I accept it so I won’t need to kick you in the nuts when I see you.

Comment by fredrik sarnblad

you do realise were a role model for world peace?

Comment by andy@cynic

You are the Switzerland of the advertising world!

Comment by John

Then we are doomed.

Comment by Marcus

The Switzerland of advertising? I think I love you John – as long as you are only referring to Andy, not cynic, ha!

Comment by Rob




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